The chart
is lying.
The record
isn’t.

Paste the CA. See what this creator’s last launches actually did — counted, dated, with the N. On pump.fun and Robinhood Chain. Not a score. A record. Then buy anyway, if you must.

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The odds — every pump.fun launch we’ve captured, 2,425,271 of them

of your next 100 buys are already a body. 96.24% rugged or died · 3.24% still breathing · graduated 0.524%. That last one is not “1 in 100”.
rugged or died survived / active graduated · 12,700 of 2,425,271

No tooltip. Find them.

ROBINHOODevery venue we capture, same count

71.93% rugged or died · 28.07% alive · graduated 0.000%, across 834,281 launches.

Robinhood Chain figures cover the 5 launchpads we capture on that chain — 221,785 launches in total, mostly PonsLaunch (57%, dormant since 12 Aug 2026) and Launch Factory (27%). hood.fun is 0.2% of it. Market data we’ve captured, not a census of the chain. Per venue →

The game is rigged. That is not a complaint about the chain — it is the shape of a launchpad where anyone can mint in ten seconds and nothing stops them doing it again on Monday.

And the creator’s own hand: on the 143,082 Robinhood Chain launches where we can see what the creator held, 47% of them sold 90%+ of their own bag within 4 hours of launching it. Not the pool draining. The person who minted it, cashing out.

The record — sealed before the outcome existed

We wrote it down first.
Including the ones we got wrong.

1,698,154calls sealed · hash-chained on write
2026-08-04first call
9f2d81035e076251…⧉ copychain root · SHA-256 · click to copy

Every call above is hashed into this. Change one call, this changes. Screenshot it — it is the fingerprint of the record you are looking at right now.

This one moves every time we seal another call, so it is the whole record’s fingerprint, not your coin’s. The part that never moves is your call’s own row hash — paste your coin and take that instead.

SOLANAWhat the sealed pump.fun record said on 2026-09-16, every call with an outcome counted: RED: rugged 57.8% (n=565,910) · AMBER: 12.4% (n=676,675) · GREEN: 46.0% (n=58,321). GREEN rugged more than AMBER, and that is not a typo. Read down the bands and you are reading book depth, not safety: hold the early book fixed and the order still runs RED, then AMBER, then GREEN in every bucket — but about half of every GREEN call sits on a coin in the deepest early-buyer bucket, where nearly everything rugs. It is a record of what happened, not a rating. The full table is on the scoreboard.

ROBINHOODSame record, Robinhood Chain: RED: rugged 68.2% (n=2,882) · AMBER: 31.3% (n=62,643) · GREEN: 55.5% (n=1,032).

Robinhood Chain figures cover the 5 launchpads we capture on that chain — 221,785 launches in total, mostly PonsLaunch (57%, dormant since 12 Aug 2026) and Launch Factory (27%). hood.fun is 0.2% of it. Market data we’ve captured, not a census of the chain. Per venue →

Rug rate, not failure rate: these count the calls that rugged. The scoreboard also publishes the failure rate, which counts rugs and quiet deaths together, in its own column.

Pull the full record — every call, winners and Ls

Depth — the early book, both tails, same table

Thin books die.
Funded books get pulled.

SOLANAas of 2026-09-16, every call with an outcome

early buyersruggedngraduated
16.3%274,3540.038%
2–319.4%211,3080.066%
4–544.1%121,6580.107%
6–1063.3%157,0010.278%
11–2575.8%139,6550.329%
26+85.9%128,9041.6%
all calls33.6%1,300,9060.265%

A launch with no early book is not in this table: the early-book feature is absent on those calls rather than zero, and absent is not zero.

Funding says the same thing: 0 SOL in0.311% rugged (n=2,572) · 5–20 SOL88.5% (n=241,231) · above 100 SOL 70.0% (n=24,518).

ROBINHOODearly book, Robinhood Chain

The Robinhood Chain pipeline did not record an early book until 6 September 2026, so there is no depth table for it yet. Rows appear here per band as each one reaches 30 resolved calls. We would rather show you this sentence than a table built from a different population.

Robinhood Chain figures cover the 5 launchpads we capture on that chain — 221,785 launches in total, mostly PonsLaunch (57%, dormant since 12 Aug 2026) and Launch Factory (27%). hood.fun is 0.2% of it. Market data we’ve captured, not a census of the chain. Per venue →

A book nobody bought can only die. A funded book is what gets pulled — and it is also the only kind that ever graduates. Depth is a record of what happened to books like this one. It is not a safety reading.

Every autopsy →

Three ways to stop being the exit

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Your bot checks
before it apes.

One GET, seven fields, no SDK. The creator record is a single KV read at the edge, which is why it answers in the time it takes to open a socket.

p99 59ms from the edge. Measured, every deploy.

curl "https://api.groundtruths.xyz/v1/flag?addr=<creator>"
→ { "known_bad": true, "launched": 14006, "rugged": 12994, "died": 528, "graduated": 31, "rug_rate": 0.9588, "asof": "…" }
// ~10ms typical. our numbers. your rule. your call.

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